A New Website Is Born: Estimite.com

Forecasting the 2021 Norwegian Election using R and Stan

Bayesian modeling has proven its usefulness for poll aggregation and election forecasting – for instance through FiveThirtyEight. However, in Norway, media coverage of public opinion trends still tends to focus on a single poll at a time, or a simple average of polls at best. I was convinced it would be possible to do better, and after about three times as many long days and nights as I thought it would take, the result is finally live – both in Norwegian and English – at Estimite. [Read More]